Showing posts with label trading lessons. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trading lessons. Show all posts

Sunday, 30 October 2022

How to EXIT a trade the RIGHT way

 

When to EXIT a trade the right way

 

A trading system’s entry is just as important as a trading exit.

You might think, it’s just where you place your take profit – but it’s not.

You see, during market volatility and irrationality of trends, there are other ways to exit a trading position the strategic and right way.

In this short and illustrated piece, I’ll go through the four main ways.

Exit strategy #1: Stop loss or take profit

The most basic way to exit out of a position, is just letting your system take over.

You get in (entry price), you set your stoploss and take profit.

And you let the market price move to one or the other.

Once it touches the stop loss, you’ll exit at a pre-defined level to curb your losses and to stop you from furthering the loss.

If it touches the take profit level, then you’ll also exit your trade at a pred-define reward level. And instead of taking a loss, you end up with a gain.

Easy enough…

Exit strategy #2: Trailing stop loss

The trailing stop loss is a powerful technique where you move your stop loss in the direction of the trend the market is favouring your position.

Let’s say you go long (buy) a market at R150. Your stop loss is at R130 and your take profit is at R200.00.

And the market over time heads to a level of around R180.00.

You want to lock in a good portion of the profits, in case the market turns around and goes against you.

And so, you’ll raise your stop loss to around R170.00 (risk to reward is 1:1).
Now if the market turns against you and hits your second stop loss, you will exit with a profit instead of a loss…

Here’s an example below of where we used the trailing stop loss to bank a minimum profit with a short (sell) trade with Firstrand.

Exit strategy #3: Time stop loss

This exit strategy is not very common amongst traders. But I think it’s super important to include in your strategy.

You see, as traders we are interested in short term gains. We are not investors who want to hold for a long period of time.

That’s because when a trade lines up, and a long period of time elapses there are a few problems that can occur including:

  1. Ongoing interest daily charges

  2. System setup becomes null and void

  3. Investing becomes more of a marriage rather than a date (emotions get involved).

  4. We have opportunity costs to take BETTER trading positions.

And so my rule generally, is to NOT hold a trade longer than 5 – 7 weeks.
After 7 weeks I take a less than expected loss. Or I bank a less than expected gain – depending on where the market is trading at.

When I exit doesn’t matter. It can be the first hour of the morning, anytime in the afternoon or before the market closes.

As long as I get out of the trade, after 5 – 7 weeks – I’ll have more income to look for better opportunities.

Take a look at the yellow circle below, where I exited out of this Vodacom trade. 

Exit strategy #4: Events

This is rare but necessarily.

There are different market events that you may consider exiting out of a position – regardless where the price is and what day it is.

These include the following:

  1. Black Swans (Freak anomaly events that can cause major spikes). 

  2. Non Farm Payrolls (More for Forex and Commodities trading) 

  3. Possible warnings from companies regarding (cooking the books, liquidations, suspensions, Board of executives removal and so on…). 

  4. Huge gaps (when the market jumps way past your stop loss or acts in an irrational way – GET OUT!).

So trading is in a way a bit subjective at times. As much as we want it to be 100% mechanical and technical. We do need to apply these types of events when it comes to exiting our positions.

In some cases, you lock in minimum gains and profits. In other cases, you take small losses. And in worst cases we avoid MASSIVE losses that are unpredictable in the future.

I trust this will open your mind to new opportunities and musts for when you exit out of a position…

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Back To The Future VS Trading

 

The DeLorean time machine is back!

 

The Back to the Future stars Doc Brown (Christopher Lloyd) and Marty McFly (Michael J. Fox) reunited and shared the stage at the New York Comicon 2022. 

This is where they reminisced over their iconic roles in the beloved film trilogy.

There were a bunch of mixed emotions but mostly the feeling of nostalgia and childhood memories…

That night, I went straight to Netflix and enjoyed the Back To the Future Marathon…

It was super interesting to watch a movie when at the time, they were trying to predict the future by making a number of predictions about 2015…

They certainly got a few spot ons such as:

  • Smart watches

  • Hover boards

  • Virtual reality headsets (which we use Quest, PlayStation and even HTC)

  • Talking from TV to TV (Instead we use tablets and smart phones, but close enough)

  • Donald Trump like figure as president

They also made a few wrong predictions like:

  • People wearing their pockets inside out

  • Dogs having drones walk them (but we do have drones though)

  • Mechanical car fuel attendants

  • Pizza hydrators

But overall, there is a very big lesson we can learn from this…

 

If scientists, businessmen, producers, directors and actors can’t accurately predict the future, nobody can.

And trading the financial markets are similar to “Back to the Future” movies.
It’s unpredictable and normally plays out differently to what we think…

Thing about the future is… When you know what is going to happen and you act according, the future changes…

Let’s say you know what’s going to happen at a certain point in the future. If you act according to what will happen in the future, then your action will change the future.

So, if the future is so unpredictable, how can anyone ever make money from trading?

Simple.

You don’t need to know the future when you trade

When you take a trade, you should never try to predict where the market will go.

Instead, we should base the future predictions and decisions on one word.
Probability.

If the market is moving up, there is a higher chance it will continue to move up. (It’s going up for a reason).

If the market consolidates in a sideways formation and then the price breaks down, there is a higher chance the price will continue to move down.

This why my one and only MATI Trader System is and will always be timeless and forever profitable. And why it’s one I’m sharing to you and my MATI Traders.

YES! I want to be forever profitable with Timon’s MATI Trader System Programme.

We say, go with the trend rather than against it… Our job is not to predict every turn and bank a profit from every point move.

Our job is to anticipate a change in the market, wait for confirmation and then act accordingly to follow the MORE likely scenario… You might not get it right 30% to 40% of the time, but you can get it right 50% – 70% of the time during certain market environments…

That’s all I do when I do trades and analyses… I base probabilities on where a market is more likely to go at a certain time…

If I’m wrong, I adjust – rather than deny…

This was a short reminder of why you don’t need to predict the markets to make it as a trader.

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Why didn’t you take the trade?

 

It lined up perfectly.

The opportunity was there.

And yet you didn’t take the trade?

You know we only have one job as a trader…

To take the trade. Then take the next one when it comes our way. Then we repeat the process forever.

So, I’m going to now guess why you didn’t take the trade and let’s see if I’m right…

Ok?

10 Probable reasons why you didn’t take the trade

1. You didn’t feel like it

2. You saw some external indicator or news event that stopped you from taking it

3. You looked at the overall market environment and it just didn’t feel right

4. It lined up but it just did not look perfect

5. The market has moved too much in one way or the other that you don’t want to take a chance

6. You’re scared to lose any more money

7. You don’t want to spend any more money on a trade

8. You don’t fully trust your system yet

9. It’s your birthday or some day of the year where you refuse to take a trade with the risk of losing money

10. You believe you know better this time than what your system is saying

Now let me save you some time and tell you something.

These are NOT reasons to not take a trade.

These are excuses that are completely unnecessary.

If you have a proven system like the MATI Trader System and it lines up – You just take the trade.

If you have the rules for when to take a trade and the rules come into fruition – You just take the trade.

Next time when one of those silly excuses line up and you just can’t put your finger on the button I want you to say one thing…

JUST TAKE THE TRADE.

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7 Trends For the Future of Customer Service

 The new era of trading all depends on two things…

The experience for trading and the superior customer service, that comes along with it…

Consumers depend on it and companies reap the rewards by adapting to excellent customer service to prevent them from failing.

In this article, we’ll focus on 7 trends that will shape customer service in the future.

This applies for not only trading but with most businesses.

Let’s get to them…

Trend #1:
Social Media Live Chat

Human assistants will help answer their customer questions, with a live online chat software or by downloading an application.

Think of Skype, Zoom, Facebook or via their personal website. As more people adapt to online communication, the more companies will utilise these opportunities.

After all, it’s all about meeting the customers where they are most likely to be.

WITH TRADING – There are already live online communication options where human operators can help with trading platform, charting, business features and offers.

Trend #2:
Virtual Chatbot

A virtual chatbot is a pre-programmed response with an artificial intelligence software.

You most likely know them as virtual assistants.

This way is a cheaper, faster and more consistent approach to help answer customers questions without the need of a human operator.

With virtual chatbots there’ll be no restricted or waiting times. Also with machine learning, means the bots will get better, they’ll be more researched and will provide better answers over time.

WITH TRADING – You’ll be able to ask for financial markets information, prices, charts, how to guides and trading platform queries.

Trend #3:
RIP Phone Calls & Faxes

Companies will strive to cut costs and cut out old fashion ways.

This includes mobile-data related phone calls taking a back seat as well fax machines.

WITH TRADING – You’ll notice that with most global Forex and trading companies, they have taken out the options of phoning and faxing them.

This shouldn’t worry you as they are adapting to the new ways of trading.

Trend #4:
24-Hour Support With Apps

Instead of calling or messaging companies via mobile communication, companies are adapting to more text and voice messaging apps.

I’m talking about WhatsApp and Facetime. It’s cheaper, faster and more accessible from anywhere in the world.
This will bring about 24 hour support, for their customers.

WITH TRADING – I’m sure you’ll be able to send a quick message to your broker via WhatsApp or another app to place or close a trade or facilitate other transactions.

Trend #5:
Video Email

Email has been the most widely used tool for customer service.

In the future, we’ll be taken to the next level where email will allow for video emails.

This way we’ll have a higher level of engagement and with a more personal and natural touch.

WITH TRADING – You’ll be able to ask your trading related query with an illustration rather than explaining via text.

And when you receive your answer, it will be shown with an easy to understand and visualise demo explanation.

Trend #6:
Remote Working & Flexible Times

COVID-19 was the catalyst that helped push the remote working environment for employees.

As customer service and contact agents are confined more to their homes, they will be working with more flexible times.

WITH TRADING – Instead of an employee having to work in an office setting, they will be more flexible with their times.

Eventually, we’ll see questions answered by them at all hours of the day.

Trend #7:
Multi-language Support

Customers are connecting with more companies, located all over the world. It is critical to offer customer service support in multiple languages.

The more languages are offered, the bigger the reach for potential customers.

WITH TRADING – Forex and crypto-currency is a global phenomenon, taking over the world. It is inevitable for these kinds of companies to offer their services in different languages.

Final words

With us being able to expose, report and send our reviews about our experiences, means one thing…

Businesses will continue to strive to serve and improve their customer support and services.

And that’s why, it is and should always be a priority for companies to improve.

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