Showing posts with label how to trade for a living. Show all posts
Showing posts with label how to trade for a living. Show all posts

Sunday, 30 October 2022

How to EXIT a trade the RIGHT way

 

When to EXIT a trade the right way

 

A trading system’s entry is just as important as a trading exit.

You might think, it’s just where you place your take profit – but it’s not.

You see, during market volatility and irrationality of trends, there are other ways to exit a trading position the strategic and right way.

In this short and illustrated piece, I’ll go through the four main ways.

Exit strategy #1: Stop loss or take profit

The most basic way to exit out of a position, is just letting your system take over.

You get in (entry price), you set your stoploss and take profit.

And you let the market price move to one or the other.

Once it touches the stop loss, you’ll exit at a pre-defined level to curb your losses and to stop you from furthering the loss.

If it touches the take profit level, then you’ll also exit your trade at a pred-define reward level. And instead of taking a loss, you end up with a gain.

Easy enough…

Exit strategy #2: Trailing stop loss

The trailing stop loss is a powerful technique where you move your stop loss in the direction of the trend the market is favouring your position.

Let’s say you go long (buy) a market at R150. Your stop loss is at R130 and your take profit is at R200.00.

And the market over time heads to a level of around R180.00.

You want to lock in a good portion of the profits, in case the market turns around and goes against you.

And so, you’ll raise your stop loss to around R170.00 (risk to reward is 1:1).
Now if the market turns against you and hits your second stop loss, you will exit with a profit instead of a loss…

Here’s an example below of where we used the trailing stop loss to bank a minimum profit with a short (sell) trade with Firstrand.

Exit strategy #3: Time stop loss

This exit strategy is not very common amongst traders. But I think it’s super important to include in your strategy.

You see, as traders we are interested in short term gains. We are not investors who want to hold for a long period of time.

That’s because when a trade lines up, and a long period of time elapses there are a few problems that can occur including:

  1. Ongoing interest daily charges

  2. System setup becomes null and void

  3. Investing becomes more of a marriage rather than a date (emotions get involved).

  4. We have opportunity costs to take BETTER trading positions.

And so my rule generally, is to NOT hold a trade longer than 5 – 7 weeks.
After 7 weeks I take a less than expected loss. Or I bank a less than expected gain – depending on where the market is trading at.

When I exit doesn’t matter. It can be the first hour of the morning, anytime in the afternoon or before the market closes.

As long as I get out of the trade, after 5 – 7 weeks – I’ll have more income to look for better opportunities.

Take a look at the yellow circle below, where I exited out of this Vodacom trade. 

Exit strategy #4: Events

This is rare but necessarily.

There are different market events that you may consider exiting out of a position – regardless where the price is and what day it is.

These include the following:

  1. Black Swans (Freak anomaly events that can cause major spikes). 

  2. Non Farm Payrolls (More for Forex and Commodities trading) 

  3. Possible warnings from companies regarding (cooking the books, liquidations, suspensions, Board of executives removal and so on…). 

  4. Huge gaps (when the market jumps way past your stop loss or acts in an irrational way – GET OUT!).

So trading is in a way a bit subjective at times. As much as we want it to be 100% mechanical and technical. We do need to apply these types of events when it comes to exiting our positions.

In some cases, you lock in minimum gains and profits. In other cases, you take small losses. And in worst cases we avoid MASSIVE losses that are unpredictable in the future.

I trust this will open your mind to new opportunities and musts for when you exit out of a position…

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Thursday, 27 August 2015

This man lost $4 billion this week, and he's still not worried!

On Monday 24 August 2015, a few things happened:
•          Stock markets crashed over 3% worldwide 
•          Traders wiped out their accounts
•          Trillions of dollars have been lost 

And Warren Buffett, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, lost $4 billion this Monday. 

How would you feel if you lost that amount of money?

Warren Buffett lost all of that money and yet he still sleeps easily, doesn't flinch at the sign of a market crash and always lives his life to the fullest. 

Here's why!

The greatest investors in the world don’t sell their stocks in fear!

The greatest investors in the world, like Warren Buffett, know that the markets swing up and down on a day to day basis. 

They also know that there’ll be an occasional crash, recession and market correction. 

If these investors based their buy and sell decisions on stock price movements, I can assure you they wouldn’t have 1/20th of the money they have today. 

Greatest investors like:
~ Ray Dalio (Founder of the investment firm Bridgewater Associates)
~ Bill Ackman (CEO of Pershing Square Capital Management), and
~ George Soros (Chairman of Soros Fund Management)

Base their buying and selling decisions on the underlying factors and fundamentals of the business, they invest in.

The reason they buy stocks is because they see a bright future for the company. 

And with careful stock validations on the micro aspects of the company, they know they will be rewarded in the long run by holding onto their stocks. And because they stick to their plans, without being swayed by fickle market sentiment, they end up achieving investment returns that stock price investors can only dream of. 

But why do these investors sleep easy during these rough times?

This brings me to a very important point. 

When I say $4 billion, it sounds like a lot of money right?

But this is money that these billionaire investors can afford to lose. 

Warren Buffett today is worth $66.7 billion. This means, his portfolio is down 5.9% ($4bn ÷ $66.7bn). 

When you were down 5.9% in your portfolio, how did you feel?

Well, not too bad right?

Because you still have 96% of your portfolio left to trade. 

And so, this is how you should think about money when it comes to your investing and trading. 

Look at how much you can make and lose in percentage terms.

The idea of how you make or lose, will fade away. All you have to think about is, how much money you want to make relative to your portfolio. 

Investing and trading is a psychological game, and this is the first most important thing you need to master. 

And so today, I want you to do something for me. 

Before you place another trade, decide how much of your money can you comfortably afford to lose per trade. Make sure the amount you lose is easy to handle.  

It might be R50, R500 or even R1,000, that you’re prepared to lose. 

Once you can answer this question, then you’ll be able to trade more easily, more effortlessly and more rationally. 

I want nothing more than for you to sleep easy, no matter what the market is doing.

In fact, today’s mailbag is all about you. 

And so I’m going to ask you a question today! 

I want to help you achieve the life you’ve always dreamed of

Trading Tips is a platform that we started to help traders like you make an income in the markets, so you can live the lifestyle you've always pictured yourself having.

I'm talking about having enough money to:
luxury-images3.png


  • Drive to any restaurant of your choice for a gourmet dinner
  • Not having to look at the price of the juicy rib-eye beef steak on the menu 
  • Paying for all your guests at the restaurant, without counting the rands and splitting the bill
And having this experience, month after month! 

To help you achieve this freedom , I want to understand why you want to make a second income trading the markets. 

So what I want, no..

What I NEED, YOU to do is this. 

I want you to just answer this one simple question for me.

“If you had R1 million profit in your trading account, how would you spoil yourself (or your family) with your money?”
I need you to CLICK HERE and answer the question now.

When I see exactly what you want in your life, I can start writing about what you need to do, step-by-step, to achieve your dreams. 

I know 90% of my readers won’t give me an answer. In fact, only the most passionate people that want to change their life will contribute and tell what they’d love to spend their trading profits on. 

And it’s ok… But even if I can help just 10 people achieve their life long-dreams, I’ll feel like Trading Tips will have been a well worth journey for them and myself. 

Let me repeat the question again:

“If you had R1 million profit in your trading account, how would you spoil yourself (or your family) with your money?”

I look forward to hearing your answer by Click here

Always remember, 

“Wisdom yields Wealth”

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Timon Rossolimos

Senior Editor:  Trading Tips
Head AnalystRed Hot Storm Trader
Author:          94 Top Trading Lessons of All Time
PS: Thank you to all of our loyal Trading Tips members!

I’ve compiled a collage of some of my most loyal members who’ve attended our events over the years and posted it to our Trading Tips Facebook Page.

Go "like" the page and tag yourself in the image. If you dont see yourself then make sure you come along to our next meetup to change that!