Showing posts with label trading drawdown. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trading drawdown. Show all posts

Sunday, 30 October 2022

How To Handle And Minimise Your Losses in A Drawdown

 

In this article, we’ll cover different ways to handle yourself during a drawdown to minimise your losses.

Minimise Drawdown Part #1:
Lower your risk per trade

There are times when the market will be in a bad market environment…

This is when no matter whether you buy or sell, you end up just taking a whole bunch of losses.

The first trick is to pinpoint when the market is in a bad environment.
For me as a breakout trader, I wait for the main index to move in a sideways trend.

This way, I know I have a medium to low probability of the trades to work out.

If you can find out when the market is in a bad environment, then you’ll know when to lower your risk.

In my case, I drop the risk from 2% per trade – down to 1.5%.

If my portfolio continues to drop, I will lower the risk further to 1% per trade until the market rectifies itself.

This is the first way to minimize your losses.

Minimise Drawdown Part #2:
Lower the number of trades you take 

You’ll know when the markets are looking S#@t all around.

This is because the large stock markets tend to lead the emerging markets. 

And when this happens, the second best thing you can do is limit the trades you take. 

If you find you’re averaging around five to nine open trades at a time, it might be time to start cutting down. 

Because what if all nine trades end up to be losers, due to the bad market environment?

Well you’ll find yourself down around 18% of your portfolio. 

So instead, limit the number of trades you’ll hold during the drawdown phase. Maybe it will four to five instead…

Just remember that being neutral and holding cash is ALSO a trading position. 

Minimise Drawdown Part #3: 
Hedge your positions 

This doesn’t always work, but it has saved my ass a couple of times.
When I find I’m long (bought) five stocks.

And I see that the market has completely changed direction to the downside. I know that there is a higher chance that I’m going to get stopped out.

So to limit my risk, I’ll immediately look at stocks that I can trade short (sell).

For example, I am currently long four stocks. And all four stocks are in a the negative. So, in the last two weeks I’ve decided to short three resource stocks (as a hedge).

This way, I’m now down only 3% of my portfolio rather than 5% since the drawdown…

Minimise Drawdown Part #4: 
Other ways

The other powerful way to control your drawdown is to lock in profits when the trades are going your way. You can think of it as a trailing stop loss.

I personally often raise my stop loss when the market moves where the risk to reward is 1:1…

This way I know I’ll lock in a gain, should the market turn against me.
There are many ways you can adjust your stop loss including:

•    Trail the stop loss as the price moves further away from the trending Moving Average 
•    Trail the stop loss after the market’s price moves a certain percentage
•    Trail the stop loss when you see volume starting to drop 
•    Trail the stop loss when an indicator is oversold or overbought
•    Trail the stop loss after the market’s price moves to a certain risk to reward

FINAL WORDS

Drawdowns are inevitable. And you need to know how to manage your Drawdowns… 

You now have some ideas on how to handle your drawdowns better. 

And we are just one step away from you being 100% ready. 

In the next article, I’ll show you some tips to manage your drawdown looking at your Equity Curve (Portfolio).

Join the Facebook group for live daily tips, lessons, memes, quotes and a successful community since 2003 

https://www.facebook.com/groups/matitrader

How Much to Recover After a Trading Drawdown

 

A Drawdown is a drop in a portfolio value after one or more trades. It’s when the portfolio dips from the highest high.

Once you’ve entered into the inevitable drawdown phase, you’ll need to know how much you’ll need to recover.

That’s where the drawdown calculation comes in…

The Drawdown Formula to recover after a portfolio drop

Let’s use three examples of traders with drawdowns.

Example #1: Timon is down 5% of his portfolio in the last three months.

Example #2: Alex is down 50% of her portfolio in the last three months.

Example#3: Artemis is down 76% of their portfolio in the last three months.

Next we’ll need the Drawdown Formula

 

Required gain = [1 ÷ (1 – Percentage loss)] -1

Let’s put in three drawdown percentages to see what we need to recover to get our portfolios back to what they were…

EXAMPLE #1: Timon’s drawdown = 5%

 

Required Gain = [1 ÷ (1 – Percentage loss)] – 1
= [1 ÷ (1 – 0.05)] – 1
= 5.26%

EXAMPLE #2: Alex’s drawdown = 50%

Required Gain = [1 ÷ (1 – Percentage loss)] – 1
= [1 ÷ (1 – 0.50)] – 1
= 100%

EXAMPLE #3: Artemis’s drawdown = 76%

Required Gain = [1 ÷ (1 – Percentage loss)] – 1
= [1 ÷ (1 – 0.15)] – 1
= 316%

In the above examples, I need to recover 5.26% of my portfolio to get it back to its highest level.

While Alex and Artemis needs over 100% and 316% to return their portfolios to what they were.

Now you know how to calculate what you need to recover after a trading drawdown.

FINAL WORDS

Do you now get that you need to take your drawdowns more seriously?
With any business or venture, you should always be wary when you enter into a tough time.

In fact, you should never be down more than 20% on your trading portfolio, business or in any other financial venture…

Once you start going below 20%, it will take a heck of a lot longer to get back to what it was…

That’s why this article is only part one…

Join the Facebook group for live daily tips, lessons, memes, quotes and a successful community since 2003